The Clarity Act is a poison pill by banks for the crypto industry and poses a material risk to stablecoin circulation.
source postCRCL · Circle Internet Group
Opened 2025-09-16 · conviction medium. Max runup —; max drawdown —.
Bullish on $CRCL and stablecoins due to subscription revenue advantages from FX rounding and fee reduction, despite not focusing on subscription revenue.
Entry, today, now.
Source: ticker thesis extracted from public posts; prices from Cornerstones first, Yahoo fallback/backtest where needed. Primary=cornerstones; fallback=yahoo.
entry source postPosts linked to CRCL.
Kevin Warsh as next Fed chair will have nuanced impacts: bullish on AI/semis, banking, small-caps, and crypto; bearish on metals, renewable energy, China/HK, EM; mixed on housing and Europe.
source postRegulatory risks from the CLARITY act could eliminate yield on USDC deposits, hurting Circle's business model, especially combined with rate cuts and lower supply.
source postCRCL faces massive dilution risk from December lockup expiry, with 77.6% of Class A shares unlocking, representing 463% of IPO float. Suggests shorting CRCL and hedging with long COIN.
source postCRCL is a great short if it trades above 1/2 of COIN because interest income is split 50-50.
source postThe Clarity Act is a bank lobbyist bill that gives banks control over digital assets and stablecoins, bans non-bank competition in yields, and harms retail-friendly innovations. Coinbase may sell out the industry due to its conditional banking charter.
source postWarning on lockup dilution risk for BULL and CRCL
source post